News Summary
During the California Business Outlook event in Sacramento, business leaders discussed pressing issues affecting the state’s economy, including international trade, tariffs, climate change, and retail theft. Keynotes featured prominent speakers from various organizations, addressing concerns around economic forecasts, rising unemployment, and the impact of tariffs on agriculture and small businesses. The consensus highlighted the need for strategic planning and collaboration to navigate the uncertainty ahead, as California’s economy faces potential contractions and job losses in key industries.
Sacramento, California — Business leaders from across California convened in Sacramento to address pressing issues affecting the state’s economy during the California Business Outlook event. The conference aimed to provide a platform for discussions on international trade, tariffs, climate change, and retail theft.
The event featured CalChamber President and CEO Jennifer Barrera delivering the opening remarks, setting the stage for a series of key discussions. The conference was co-sponsored by multiple organizations, including the Sacramento Host Committee, California New Car Dealers Association (CNCDA), and the California Restaurant Association.
Critical topics included a fireside chat between Lieutenant Governor Eleni Kounalakis and Caroline Beteta, President and CEO of Visit California, focusing on international trade and tariffs. Another significant session was led by Liane Randolph, chair of the California Air Resources Board, who engaged with Barrera regarding environmental impacts on business.
During a lunch session, Dr. Christopher Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics, presented an international economic forecast highlighting potential challenges ahead. In the afternoon, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho addressed the ongoing issue of retail theft and the implementation of Proposition 36, a voted statewide initiative designed to increase penalties for drug and theft crimes.
Current economic forecasts show a looming contraction for California’s economy later this year. A report from UCLA Anderson suggests that global tariffs and immigration enforcement will significantly impact key sectors, resulting in volatility and uncertainty in the second quarter of 2025. California’s economy is anticipated to grow slower than the national average, with projections indicating several quarters of negative job growth.
The unemployment rate in California is expected to peak at 6.1% this year, with a projected average of 5.8% in 2025. The entertainment sector is experiencing job losses, compounded by reductions in the technology industry. The imposition of tariffs has further complicated economic conditions, particularly in agriculture, where disrupted trade and increased costs affect operations.
Specifically, tariffs from the previous administration have delayed equipment purchases and elevated costs for various sectors reliant on imported materials. In Southern California, the trade and logistics industry is forecasted to experience job declines, with a projected drop of at least 10% in cargo volumes at the Port of Los Angeles over the coming year.
Additionally, small and medium-sized businesses are facing heightened vulnerabilities due to rising costs linked to tariffs. Economists and business leaders emphasize the need to address a shrinking labor force as a critical factor for future economic stability and growth. This concern comes amid the realization that the California and Canadian economies are intertwined, prompting Visit California to launch a $5 million campaign to attract Canadian tourists.
The overall sentiment among leaders at the California Business Outlook event is one of urgency and concern. There is a collective recognition of the necessity for strategic planning and support to maintain California’s economic strength in the face of these challenges. With significant uncertainties ahead, participants at the conference are ardently advocating for collaborative efforts to navigate the roadblocks confronting California’s economy.
Deeper Dive: News & Info About This Topic
- Los Angeles Times: California’s Economy Will Contract as Unemployment Rises in 2025 UCLA Forecast Predicts
- Wikipedia: Economy of California
- KCRA: California Businesses Worried About Tariffs
- Google Search: California Economy
- Reuters: Rebound in US Economic Growth Masks Underlying Slowing Trend
- Encyclopedia Britannica: Economic Growth
- Farmonaut: California’s Economic Uncertainty: How Tariffs Impact Agriculture, Trade, and Jobs
- Google News: California Tariffs